The Herald, Sharon, Pa.

Local Gas Prices

June 22, 2012

Americans hold dimmest view on economic outlook in five months

WASHINGTON — The fewest Americans in five months said the economy was improving in June, signaling the slowdown in employment is seeping into consumer psychology.

The share of households viewing the economy as heading in the right direction fell to 22 percent this month, the lowest since January, pushing the Bloomberg monthly expectations gauge to minus 11 from minus 1 in May. The weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index was minus 37.9 in the period ended June 17, down from a four-week high of minus 36.4.

"The steady drip of dreary economic data and deteriorating labor market is reshaping public expectations," said Bloomberg LP senior economist Joseph Brusuelas in New York. The decline "will likely result in slower spending, which in turn will likely have an adverse impact on business confidence."

Growing pessimism raises the odds that retailers will continue to see demand cool after sales dropped over the past two months. Federal Reserve policymakers said Wednesday they will expand a program aimed at reducing long-term interest rates in a bid to spur the world's largest economy after lowering their outlook for growth and employment.

Another report Thursday showed more Americans than forecast filed applications for unemployment benefits last week, indicating the labor market continues to struggle.

Jobless claims decreased by 2,000 to 387,000 in the week ended June 16, according to data from the Labor Department. The median forecast of 45 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News called for 383,000. The four-week average, a less volatile measure, climbed to the highest of the year.

The Fed said Wednesday it will expand its program to replace short-term Treasury securities with longer-term debt by $267 billion through the end of 2012. Central bankers also said they were "prepared to take further action as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustain improvement in labor market conditions in a context of price stability."

The slump in expectations this month was led by households living in the western U.S. and by registered Democrats, Thursday's report showed.

All three components of the weekly comfort declined. The index of the state of the national economy dropped to minus 69.8 from minus 65.7, and the personal finance gauge was at minus 2.3 percent compared with minus 2 the prior week. The gauge of whether consumers consider it a good time to buy was little changed at minus 41.7 from minus 41.4.

"Consumer views remain in perilous condition," Gary Langer, president of Langer Research Associates in New York, which compiles the index for Bloomberg, said in a statement. "Still, the index may finish the second quarter slightly ahead of its first, and certainly well ahead of the dreadful fourth quarter of 2011."

The index averaged minus 49.9 in the last three months of 2011, and minus 40.5 in this year's first quarter.

Waning employment gains have probably contributed to the decrease in optimism. Job openings were at a five-month low in April, and the jobless rate rose to 8.2 percent in May, according to figures from the Labor Department. A slump in income and employment may be among reasons households confidence has slid even as gasoline prices have fallen to their lowest since February.

Retail sales fell 0.2 percent for a second month in May, data from the Commerce Department showed last week. The smallest wage gain in a year may be taking a toll on consumer spending. The hit may leave companies more vulnerable to shocks from the European crisis.

Procter & Gamble Co., the world's largest consumer-goods company, reduced its earnings and revenue forecasts Wednesday for the second time in three months, hurt by slowing sales growth in Europe and the United States. The reduction by the maker of Tide washing detergent and Gillette razors illustrates the difficulties faced by consumer-products makers as rising unemployment in Europe and North America restricts spending.

Thursday's confidence report showed the drop in gasoline prices is providing little relief to lower-income earners. Sentiment among families making from $25,000 to $39,900 slid to minus 39 from minus 32.3 the previous week. The gauge for those earning between $15,000 and $24,500 also took a hit, falling to minus 79.3, the lowest level of the year, from minus 73.9.

"The lower income earners have really turned sour, suggesting that they are the cohort likely losing jobs and partially explains why they have not responded favorably to the drop in gasoline prices," Brusuelas said. The Bloomberg buying- climate gauge moves in the same direction as inflation-adjusted consumer spending about 70 percent of the time on a quarterly basis, according to his calculations.

The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index is based on responses to telephone interviews with a random sample of 1,000 consumers 18 years old and older. Each week, 250 respondents are asked for their views on the economy, personal finances and buying climate; the percentage of negative responses is subtracted from the share of positive views and divided by three. The most recent reading is based on the average of responses over the previous four weeks.

The comfort index can range from 100, indicating every participant in the survey had a positive response to all three components, to minus 100, signaling all views were negative. The margin of error for the headline reading is 3 percentage points.

Text Only
Local Gas Prices
  • Kelly Road bridge is coming down

    Rod Alexander has given up trying to save the historic Kelly Road Bridge but is supporting a new plan to preserve parts of it.

    November 25, 2012

  • fireworks-by-age.png Feds warn that fireworks injuries are common and sometimes serious

    Everybody knows fireworks are dangerous but every year, thousands of injured consumers wind up in hospital emergency rooms with injuries that range from minor to fatal.

    June 28, 2012 2 Photos

  • stove.jpg Electric or gas: Which appliances are better?

    If you're moving into a new house and have the luxury to design your kitchen, should you set it up to run gas or electric appliances? The same question applies to those who are searching for a new apartment. Should you choose a building that uses gas to power its appliances, or electricity?

    June 25, 2012 1 Photo

  • Americans hold dimmest view on economic outlook in five months

    The fewest Americans in five months said the economy was improving in June, signaling the slowdown in employment is seeping into consumer psychology.

    June 22, 2012

  • trucking.jpg Truckers as leading indicator show stable U.S. growth

    Rising truck shipments show the U.S. economic expansion is intact, even amid concerns that a slowdown in retail sales and Europe's sovereign-debt crisis could stall growth.

    June 20, 2012 1 Photo

  • grocery-cart.jpg Store brands can knock 36 percent off grocery bill, survey says

    What's the difference between an advertised brand and a store brand? Sometimes it's just the label.

    June 20, 2012 1 Photo

  • movie-theater.jpg Forget movie critics, mindless Internet chatter predicts blockbusters and bombs

    Why did "The Avengers" blow the roof off the box office, while "Battleship" sank to the bottom of the sea? Blame internet chatter. The number of times a film is mentioned in blog posts and social media strongly reflects how much money it is pulling in at the box office, according to a new model developed by Japanese physicists.

    June 20, 2012 1 Photo

  • Warming gas levels hit 'troubling milestone'

    WASHINGTON (AP) — The world's air has reached what scientists call a troubling new milestone for carbon dioxide, the main global warming pollutant.

    Monitoring stations across the Arctic this spring are measuring more than 400 parts per million of the heat-trapping gas in the atmosphere. The number isn't quite a surprise, because it's been rising at an accelerating pace. Years ago, it passed the 350 ppm mark that many scientists say is the highest safe level for carbon dioxide. It now stands globally at 395.

    June 5, 2012

  • Pittsburgh company converting 50 cabs to propane

    PITTSBURGH (AP) — Pittsburgh Transportation Group has begun converting 50 of its taxi cabs to run on propane, a fuel the company says will save its drivers money and pollute less that gasoline.

    June 5, 2012

  • DCNR To Collect Money From Drillers Who Harvest Gas Under Public Streams

    Natural gas drillers have to sign leases and compensate the state if they plan to collect gas trapped deep beneath publicly owned streams and rivers, according to a policy developed recently by the Department of Conservation and Natural Resources.

    The policy applies to gas gathered from pads on neighboring properties - away from the streams and their banks - where wells are drilled vertically before turning and boring laterally underground.

     

    June 5, 2012

Local Gasoline Prices
Facebook
Twitter Updates
Follow us on twitter
Follow me on Twitter